NFL Week 9 Picks!
Updated: Nov 9, 2020
I went 8-5 on NFL Picks and 6-7 on Over/Under's last week.
I went 1/2 on Lock of the week. Dolphins > Rams & Chiefs > Jets.
My Upset Pick of the week was correct! LV Raiders > Browns!
On the year I am
NFL Picks = 45-25 = 65%
O/U's = 34-31 = 52%
Upset Pick Of The Week = 3-2 = 60%
Lock Of The Week = 9-2 = 81%
Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers
Hard to imagine this is a rematch of the NFC title game. The 49ers are decimated by injuries, Jimmy G is out so Nick Mullens starts at quarterback. Top TE George Kittle is out too. They can still run the ball, which has been a problem for the Packers. But without Kittle and with a backup quarterback, it will be tougher to run it. The Packers will be thin at running back, but I think Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay passing game will move the ball and find a way to win against a depleted team.
Pick - Green Bay Packers
NY Giants (+115) vs Washinton (-135) O/U 41.5
The Giants are playing on a short week after losing to the Bucs Monday night. Washington is coming off a bye. Both teams are bad so I'll take the more rested team. Washington takes it. I also take the under seeing this as a defensive battle.
Pick - Washington (-135)
O/U 41.5 = Take The Under
Chicago Bears (+205) vs Tennesse Titans (-245) O/U 46.5
Both teams come in on two game losing streaks. The Titans defense has been terrible but so has the Bears offense. In the end I think the Titans have more playmakers and will take it. Wouldn't be surprised if this one was close though. I'll take the over too lets see some points!
Pick - Tennessee Titans (-245)
O/U 46.5 = Take The Over
Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings
Dalvin Cook ran the Vikings to a win against Green Bay last week. I'd assume the Vikings will look to do the same thing against the Lions. With Stafford in Covid protocol and not being able to practice I like the Vikings at home.
Carolina Panthers (+415) vs Kansas City Chiefs (-525) O/U 52.5
The Panthers have lost 3 in a row and I have a feeling it's about to be 4. They might end up having CMC available but even if they do I feel the Chiefs take this easy. Chiefs are my LOCK OF THE WEEK! Also take the over with these two offenses on the field.
Pick - Kansas City Chiefs (-525)
O/U 52.5 = Take The Over
LOCK OF THE WEEK
Houston Texans (-275) vs Jacksonville Jaguars (+235) O/U 50.5
The Jaguars are starting Jake Luton at QB. The Jaguars defense is horrendous. I feel Watson and the Texans are going to roll here so I'm taking the Texans in my 2nd LOCK OF THE WEEK. I also think the Jaguars score garbage time points so take the over.
Pick - Houston Texans (-275)
O/U 50.5 = Take The Over
2nd LOCK OF THE WEEK
Baltimore Ravens (-140) vs Indianapolis Colts (+120) O/U 47
The Colts have seemingly put it together. Rivers looks solid and they are coming off two wins in a row. But the Ravens defense is no joke and while Lamar has struggled lately I see a big game coming from him. The Ravens use the run game, set up play action and get the win. Also take the over.
Pick - Baltimore Ravens (-140)
O/U 47 = Take The Over
Seattle Seahawks (-155) vs Buffalo Bills (+130) O/U 55
This is a long trip for Seattle to face a good Buffalo team. But Buffalo's defense has really struggled the past month. I'll take Mr Unlimited Wilson to keep winning. I also take the under because 55 is a lot of points.
Pick - Seattle Seahawks (-155)
O/U 55 = Take The Under
Denver Broncos (+160) vs Atlanta Falcons (-190) O/U 50
The Falcons have won 2 out of the last 3. The offense is starting to look like we imagined it would to start the year. The defense is bad but at least now is making some plays. The Broncos can put up points and did surprise me with a come from behind victory last week but the Falcons are a better team. I trust Matt Ryan over Drew Lock. Take the Over.
Pick - Atlanta Falcons (-190)
O/U 50 = Take The Over
LA Raiders (-105) vs LA Chargers (-115) O/U 52
The Raiders took out the Browns last in in my upset pick of the week. I like their run game with Jacobs. I like that Carr looks in command of the offense. I also like the Chargers. If they could find a way to Finnish games they would be a dangerous team. I'm gonna go Raiders here and take the over but it could go either way.
Pick - LA Raiders (-105)
O/U 52 = Take The Over
Pittsburgh Steelers (-800) vs Dallas Cowboys (+550) O/U 41.5
The Cowboys are so bad it hurts to watch. The Steelers are so good it hurts to watch. Bet it all on the Steelers and take the over cause this one could be 42-0 lol Also 3rd LOCK OF THE WEEK.
Pick - Pittsburgh Steelers (-800)
O/U 41.5 = Take The Over
Miami Dolphins (+175) vs Arizona Cardinals (-210) O/U 48
I love what the Dolphins have going on but Tua passed for less then 100 yards last week. He won't be able to keep up with Kyler Murray. Cardinals take this one but bet the under. Miamis defense is no joke.
Pick - Arizona Cardinals (-210)
O/U 48 = Take The Under
New Orleans Saints (+180) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-220) O/U 51.5
Everyone is going Buccaneers here. Tom Brady looks solid and the defense is making plays but let me tell you people something. This has been the Saints division for a while. They know people are picking the Bucs. Brees and company show up and win a close one in my UPSET PICK OF THE WEEK!
Pick - New Orleans Saints (+180)
O/U 51.5 = Pound The Over
UPSET PICK OF THE WEEK
New England Patriots (-330) vs NY Jets (+270) O/U 42.5
The Patriots have lost 4 in a row. The Jets have lost 8 in a row. The Pats should take this easy but take the under.
Pick - New England Patriots (-330)
O/U 42.5 = Take The Under
I'm in the midst of recording a cd and gotta do vocals so no podcast yet this week. Maybe one on Friday but not sure. Either way listen to some old episodes and follow the instagram to stay updated!