NFL Week 7 Picks!
Last week I went 7-7 on NFL picks and 8-4 on Over/Under Picks!
On the year I'm
NFL Picks = 26-17 = 60.4%
O/U = 21-17 = 55.2%
Upset Pick of the Week = 1-2 = 33%
Lock of the Week = 6-1 = 85.7%
Philadelphia Eagles (-250) vs New York Giants (+200) O/U 44.5
Both these teams are bad but with a win can sit atop the NFC East somehow lol The Eagles lost a hard fought game to the Ravens 28-30. Wentz is looking more like himself. He’s making better decisions with the football. But the loss came at a cost. Miles Sanders and Zach Ertz are out a few weeks with injuries. They will be trotting out a lot of backups for this Thursday night game. Meanwhile the Giants got their first win against Washington 20-19. It wasn’t fun to watch. Bad football all around. I know the Eagles are banged up but I can’t imagine they lose to the Giants at home. This will be closer than it should be for most of the game but in the end The Eagles come out on top. I also recommend taking the under. I think Philly will score over 20 but not sure the Giants can keep up against the Eagles defense.
Pick Philadelphia Eagles (-250)
O/U 44.5 = Take The Under
Carolina Panthers (+285) vs New Orleans Saints (-345) O/U 51
The Panthers lost to the Bears 16-23. The offense couldn’t Finnish in the redzone and it cost them. The defense made some plays but not enough to make up for the offenses shortcomings. Meanwhile the Saints are coming off a bye. They are at home where it’s been announced they will allow 30% capacity so there will be fans. I think the Panthers keep this close early but the Panthers can't stop the run. Kamara and Lat Murray are gonna feast. I see the Saints running away with this late. This over under is tough. It's gonna be close but I'll take the over.
Pick New Orleans Saints (-345)
O/U 51 = Take The Over
Buffalo Bills (-600) vs New York Jets (+450) O/U 45
The Bills lost at home to the Chiefs 26-17. They took shots but couldn’t make the big plays happen. The defense couldn’t stop the run and this was the most vulnerable I’ve seen the Bills look all year. After coming off 2 losses in a row they need a pick me up. Meet the New York Jets... They lost 24-0 last week to the dolphins and they might lose this week by 100. This is my LOCK OF THE WEEK. Also take the under. I doubt the Jets score at all in this game.
Pick Buffalo Bills (-600)
O/U 45 = Take The Under
Cleveland Browns (-175) vs Cincinnati Bengals (+145) O/U 50.5
This is a massive game for both teams. The Browns got emasculated by the Steelers 7-38. They couldn’t get anything going on both sides of the ball. The Bengals showed up early going up 21-0 against the Colts but still ended up losing 27-31. To me it’s simple. the talent is there but at the end we need the coaching to help us win and Zac doesn’t seem to be the guy for the job. Aj Green did have a solid game and Burrow looked good. This game I feel will be close. I think the Browns ability to run the football gets them the win here. I want to go Bengals but till they show me they can win late I’m going with the other team. I also see a lot of points being put up so take the over.
Pick Cleveland Browns (-175)
O/U 50.5 = Take The Over
Dallas Cowboys vs Washington O/U 46
This is a tough one here. Washington lost to the Giants who are terrible and the Cowboys got STARCHED by the Cardinals at home. I don’t trust either of these teams at all. I’m going to reluctantly take the Cowboys. As bad as they were on Monday they have so much more talent then Washington. I’ll take the Boys. I'll also take the over.
Pick Dallas Cowboys
O/U 46 = Take The Over
Green Bay Packers (-190) vs Houston Texans (+165) O/U 57
This games real interesting. The Packers got smashed my the Bucs last week 10-38. Rodgers and the offense were horrendous and couldn’t move the ball to save their lives. The defense was just as bad. Meanwhile the Texans lost a thriller to the unbeaten Titans 36-42 in OT. The Texans played well enough to win and in my opinion should have. If the Packers didn’t just get embarrassed I’d go Texans here all day. But after a loss like that I feel Rodgers and the Packers show up in a big way and win. I also take the under even with all these weapons. 57 is a lot of points.
Pick Green Bay Packers (-190)
O/U 57 = Take The Under
Detroit Lions (+115) vs Atlanta Falcons (-135) O/U 55
The Lions beat the Jaguars 34-16. The offense did whatever they wanted. The defense created turnovers. It was a solid all around team win. The Falcons destroyed the Vikings 40-23. Julio Jones came back in a big way and the offense was back on track. What was surprising was how the defense made plays. They created turnovers and were solid. Both these teams need this one. I'm going with the Falcons and the under.
Pick Atlanta Falcons (-135)
O/U 55 = Take The Under
Pittsburgh Steelers (+100) vs Tennesse Titans (-120) O/U 50.5
The Battle of the unbeaten. The Steelers took care of the Browns 38-7. The Titans took care of the Texans 42-36. Both teams 5-0. The Steelers for sure look like the more dominant team out of the two but the Titans are at home. I’m gonna take the Steelers. I feel the defense is better. I feel they can contain Henry and the run game. It’s for sure gonna be close though. It could go either way. I'm also putting this as my UPSET PICK OF THE WEEK. Take the under.
Pick Pittsburgh Steelers (+100)
O/U 50.5 = Take The Under
UPSET PICK OF THE WEEK
Seattle Seahawks (-180) vs Arizona Cardinals (+160) O/U 56
The Cardinals made a statement against the Cowboys. The offense looks great. The defense made plays. The Cardinals look decent. The Seahawks are coming off a bye week and this seems pretty obvious the Seahawks are gonna take the win here.... Almost too obvious.... THATS RIGHT BABY!! CARDINALS TAKE DOWN THE SEAHAWKS! RUSS WILL BE RUSTY AND HOPKINS WILL GO OFF. UPSET PICK OF THE WEEK X2!
Pick Arizona Cardinals (+160)
O/U 56 = Take The Over
Kansas City Chiefs (-430) vs Denver Broncos (+345) O/U 45.5
The Chiefs got back on track against the Bills with a 26-17 win. Wasn’t the most dominant win but it was pouring out and they did get the job done. The Broncos beat the Patriots on the road 18-12. It was shocking. The defense was top notch. Made big plays. The offense was sub par but good enough to get the win. I love it’s in Denver and I am feeling the upsets this week but I can’t go against Mahomes here. The Broncos offense won’t be able to keep up. Take the Chiefs. also take the under.
Pick Kansas City Chiefs (-430)
O/U 45.5 = Take The Under
Jacksonville Jaguars (+300) vs LA Chargers (-360) O/U 49
The Jaguars lost to the lions 16-34. They have not looked good in the last few games on either side of the ball. The Chargers are rested coming off a bye week and I think that rest is the difference in this game. Chargers take the win. 2nd LOCK OF THE WEEK. Take the under.
Pick LA Chargers (-360)
O/U 49 = Take The Under
2ND LOCK OF THE WEEK
San Francisco 49ers (+100) vs New England Patriots (-120) O/U 43.5
The 49ers coming off a horrible loss to the dolphins came back last week and beat the Rams 24-16. The offense with Jimmy G made plays. The defense bent but did not break. Meanwhile the Patriots lost to the Broncos 18-12 in an embarrassing home loss. The offense was sad to watch. The defense was bad till the last 5 minutes of the game. I’m going to reluctantly take the Patriots. It’s very rare they look that bad and follow up the next performance doing the same. Take The Patriots and the Over.
Pick New England Patriots (-120)
O/U 43.5 = Take The Over
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs LV Raiders. O/U 52
The Bucs got back on track against the Packers with a 38-10 win. The defense looked scary good and the offense did their job. This is what I imagined the Bucs would look like from the start of the year. The Raiders are rested coming off a bye. They are at home. They are a dangerous team. I like what the Raiders are doing but I like what the Bucs defense is doing more. If Brady doesn’t turn the ball over the Bucs take this game. I’ll go Buccaneers. I'll also take the over.
Pick Tampa Bay Buccaneers
O/U 52 = Take The Over
Chicago Bears (+200) vs LA Rams (-260) O/U 45
The Bears took care of the Panthers 23-16 on the road. The defense is legit and when Foles makes a few plays they get the win. The Bears are 5-1 which seems crazy but it’s true. The Rams lost to the 49ers 16-24. The offense made too many mistakes and couldn’t capitalize on chances. I know I keep going against the Bears and losing but I’m taking the Rams. I feel they are the more complete team. I also take the over.
Pick LA Rams (-260)
O/U 45 = Take The Over
If you want to hear these picks being made take a listen to the podcast below!
We went over 9 thousand streams last week and are on the way to 10k!
Good luck with all your picks. Hope we win this week!