NFL Week 4 Picks!
Denver Broncos vs New York Jets O/U 41
These two teams are riddled with injuries. The broncos have lost Drew Lock and Courtland Sutton their best Quarterback and wide receiver. The Broncos backup Jeff Driskel was so bad they will have to start 3rd String QB Brett Rypien. The broncos lost to the Bucs 28-10 last week and did not get much going offensively or defensively. Meanwhile the Jets have lost their top running back Levion Bell and weren't much to begin with. The Jets lost 36-7 to the Colts. It was an embarrassment. In the end I'm going with the team with more talent which is the Broncos. If they can get the running game going with Melvin Gordon and not turn the ball over they should be able to get the win.
Pick Denver Broncos
O/U 41 = Take the Under
Indianapolis Colts (-130) vs Chicago Bears (+110) O/U 54
The Colts beat up on the Jets 36-7 putting them at 2-1 on the year. The defense looked amazing but again it was the Jets. The Bears playing the falcons on the road. Losing 26-10 with 6min left in the game. Big Dick Nick Foles says SIT DOWN MITCH! He goes on to lead an improbable come from behind victory. The bears win 30-26 and are 3-0 on the year. On one hand I see the Colts picking up momentum and being the team I thought they would be to start the season. I also just watched Nick Foles give the bears a reason to believe. Sunday it’s supposed to be 55 and rainy. I feel rivers will be cranky and I can’t go against Foles at home. Take the upset here and bet the +110! If its rainy like they say I also like the under.
Pick Chicago Bears (+110)
O/U 54 = Take the Under
New Orleans Saints (-210) vs The Detroit Lions (+175)
Very interesting game here. The saints lost 37-30 to the packers at home last week. However Drew Brees went 29-36 threw for nearly 300 yards with 3tds and 0 ints after the horrible game the week before. So that’s encouraging for the saints. Meanwhile the lions are coming off an upset road win against the Cardinals 26-23. Stafford has made plays when he’s had too. Golladay helped open up the offense and the defense has been very opportunistic when given chances. I’m gonna go with the Saints here. Brees looked better. Sanders is grasping the offense better. I think the saints should be able to run on the Lions who are ranked 30th against the run. Lat Murray and Kamara should feast and set up play action. Contrary to both these teams putting up points every week I like the under here. Lots of running and short passes in this one.
Pick New Orleans Saints (-210)
O/U 54 = Take the under
Arizona Cardinals (-170) vs Carolina Panthers (+150)
The Cardinals lost 23-26 to the Lions last week. Kyler Murray took far too many chances getting intercepted 3 times. They played far too loose and it cost them. Meanwhile the Panthers got their first win beating the Chargers on the road 21-16. The secondary for the Panthers is legit in big moments. They make game changing plays when given the chance. After watching Murray throw 3 ints last week this matchup scares me more then it should. But I’m gonna take the Cardinals. I feel they will keep it on the ground and correct the mistakes from last week and pick up the win.
Pick Arizona Cardinals (-170)
Cincinnati Bengals (-160) vs Jacksonville Jaguars (+140) O/U 49
The Bengals once again looked decent but couldn’t find a way to close the game out. The Bengals tied the Eagles 23-23. Burrow looked good but the offensive line was horrible. Meanwhile The Jaguars lost to the dolphins 31-13. Minshew didn’t have it that night and missed a lot of throws. The defense was horrendous and Fitzmagic picked them apart. I’m gonna say this. If the Bengals can’t beat the Jaguars there's a real problem. The Jaguars defensive line is as bad as the bengals o line so I expect Burrow to have time and make the right decisions. I also expect to see a heavy dose of Joe Mixon against an inferior opponent. If Geno Atkins plays Minshew won’t have much time to throw. I’m going bengals. I'm also taking the over here. Two bad defenses equal a lot of points lol
Pick Cincinnati Bengals (-160)
O/U 49 = Take the Over
Cleveland Browns (+185) vs The Dallas Cowboys (-222) O/U 56
The Browns ran their way to a 34-20 victory against Washington. Hunt and Chubb are on a mission this season. When the Browns limit Bakers throws and control the clock they are a dangerous team. Meanwhile the Cowboys took it to Seattle but came up short 38-31. The run game with Zeke is always there. Dak seems to be back on track running the offense. Honestly this game could go either way. Cleveland is top 5 against the run. Dallas is bottom 20. If you went Browns (+185) that's not a bad bet. BUT... The cowboys need this win and are at home so I'm going with the more desperate team.
Pick Dallas Cowboys
O/U 56 = Take the Over
Seattle Seahawks (-280) vs Miami Dolphins (+240)
The Seahawks beat the cowboys 38-31 heading to 3-0 on the season. Russel Wilson is having an mvp season and their offense is scary. Chris Carson did go down in the win but the team remains stacked. Meanwhile The Dolphins beat the Jaguars 31-13. They looked solid in all phases in the win. The Dolphins for some reason always play the Seahawks tough but I’m taking the Seahawks here. This is also my lock of the week! The Seahawks have too many weapons to stop. Dolphins can’t match up.
Pick Seattle Seahawks (-280)
(Lock Of The Week)
LA Chargers (+260) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-320) O/U 43
I’m not sold on either of these teams. After a solid showing against the Chiefs Herbert and the Chargers came back down to earth and lost 21-16 to the Panthers. Herbert made some throws but looked like a rookie. Meanwhile the Bucs won 28-10 over a depleted Broncos team. Brady had nearly 300 yards passing with 3tds and 0 ints. Brady still doesn’t look top notch but good enough to get this win. I also take the under here. Both these defenses look good and points will be at a premium.
Pick Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-320)
O/U 43 = Take the Under
Baltimore Ravens (-840) vs Washington Football Team (+570) O/U 45.5
The Ravens lost 34-20 at home to the Chiefs putting them at 2-1 on the year. Lamar Jackson didn’t even throw for over 100 yards. Meanwhile Washington lost to the Browns by a good amount. This game has beat down written all over it. Ravens by a million take the over lol
Pick Baltimore Ravens (-840)
(2nd Lock Of The Week)
O/U 45.5 = Take the Over
New York Giants (+530) vs LA Rams (-760) O/U 48
The Giants played a 49ers team that started all backups and lost by 27 points. The Rams are gonna torch them no need going over this. Take the Rams but I have no faith in the Giants to score so take the under.
Pick LA Rams (-760)
(3rd Lock Of The Week)
O/U 48 = Take the Under
New England Patriots (+250) vs Kansas City Chiefs (-300) O/U 53.5
The Patriots beat the Raiders 36-20 putting them at 2-1 on the year. Solid all around win for the team. Offense and defense getting the job done. Meanwhile the Chiefs beat the ravens 34-20. Putting them at 3-0 on the year. The offense looks unstoppable. Both teams are very good. This could be an AFC Championship Preview. I’m scared in this pick. I really like the Patriots cause I feel Bill has a plan. Cam will Feast on this defense for sure but I just can’t go against Mahomes. He’s too smart and he will make plays. I'll take the Chiefs and the over.
Pick Kansas City Chiefs (-300)
O/U 53.5 = Take the Over
Buffalo Bills (-160) vs Las Vegas Raiders (+140) O/U 52.5
The Bills beat the Rams 35-32. They had a 28-3 lead and nearly blew it but took the lead with 15 seconds left to get the win. They beat a tough team and stayed undefeated. Don’t matter how they did it what matters is it happened and they are 3-0. Meanwhile the Raiders lost to the Patriots 36-20. They kept it close for 3 quarters but got blown out in the 4th. The Raiders are 2-1 and I like them playing at home but I’m gonna take the Bills cause they seem to be getting it done. Take the Bills and take the over.
Pick Buffalo Bills (-160)
O/U 52.5 = Take the Over
Philadelphia Eagles (+255) vs San Fransisco 49ers (-310)
The Eagles tied with the bengals 23-23. Wentz has not been impressive but shows flashes of his former self. The defense is decent despite injuries. Meanwhile the 49ers despite playing backups everywhere won last week 36- 9 to the giants who are terrible. Jimmy G and Kittle are on the way back. The 49ers are home and everything points to them winning. SO THAT MEANS THEY WILL LOSE!! Im going Eagles because they are desperate for a win and I'm feeling crazy lol Ill also take the under seeing as this will be all about running the ball and playing defense.
Pick Philadelphia Eagles (+255)
Upset Pick Of The Week
O/U 46 = Take the Under
Atlanta Falcons (+280) vs The Green Bay Packers (-350) O/U 56.5
The Falcons continue to take big leads into the 4th quarter and continue to blow them. They lost to the bears 30-26 giving up 20 points in the last 6 min to lose. They are 0-3 and have got to be the most talented 0-3 team of all time. Meanwhile the Packers beat the Saints 37-30 on the road. They continue to be consistent. I was very wrong about them going into this year and have been very impressed. This game has all the making of an upset. Both these teams are top 5 scoring offenses so I don’t care what the over is POUND THAT SHIT! The falcons have not yet fired their coach so the team will go all out for him. The Packers should easily put up 30 on Atlanta’s defense. I wana go falcons........ but they already fooled me twice. Not a third time. I’m going Packers.
Pick Green Bay Packers (-350)
O/U 56.5 = Pick the Over
Those are my picks! I'll be posting these weekly so lets win some money baby! If you want to listen to the podcast go to the podcast link. If you want a chance to be on the podcast and win some money DM @bigmouthsmallwordspodcast on instagram. Good luck everyone!